Morning all, another cracking weekend of sport ahead of again. We are going to keep things very simple today with a solid Premiership double and a international tryscorer bet. With England expected to win at a canter in Wales the Handicap offered seems fair and isn’t to be toyed with. The same goes for Paris, if it was a full strength French team then I would expect a rout, but with a much changed French side it just creates a bit of uncertainty. I still expect it to be a comfortable win, but not so much as putting money on it.
In the Premiership Newcastle got an outstanding win last night against a tough Sale team. What a start they have had taking the scalps of two top teams. We see 4 matches in the prem today with what I see as two winning bets on the card, so that is our play today, but we will be watching the others as well with great interest
Northampton vs Harlequins 28/11/20 14:00ko
These two had very different matches last weekend, Saints will feel that they should have come away from Sale with a win, there’s not a lot of argument that they were the better side over the 80 minutes, but you cannot afford to give up a 17-0 lead inside 15 minutes and expect to get anything from the match. They showed superb fight to force their way back into the contest and have a chance of nicking it at the end. Quins on he other hand basically had their will destroyed over 80 minutes by Exeter. They were very competitive up until half time, but the pressure told in the 2nd half with the Chiefs running away with the match. Saints will not allow that start again this week and as long as they are around level par at half time they will back themselves to come away with the win and so would i.
Northampton win generally 11/10 or 6/5 with the major bookies (lost)
Gloucester vs Wasps 28/11/20 15:00ko
Gloucester I expected more from last week. They really didn’t show up at Welford road and this week they face a completely different challenge in Wasps. After a very topsy turvy game against Bristol last weekend they snatched a win from the jaws of defeat in a match that was completely different to what everyone expected. Wasps will build on that performance and it will have really sharpened them up to put in a better performance this weekend, I can’t believe they are nearly EVS for the win, so we have to get involved.
Wasps to win 10/11 with Betfred, most others showing 5/6 or 4/5 (lost)
play the double of these two games to build us a good pot to play tomorrow
France vs Italy 28/11/20 20:00ko
keep things very simple here with a tryscorer bet at a great price. The man that has stepped in at 10 is a very exciting player and given license to play a running free game could fill his boots today and bag us a couple of scores
Matthieu Jalibert to score 2 or more tries in 80 mins 17/1 best price with Betfair (lost)
Wales vs England 28/11/20 16:00ko
Another one here at a big price is one of England’s flying full back, he has a habit of popping up and scoring tries for his country and the war that will go on up front today will create spaces on the outside for this born finisher
Elliot Daly to score 2 or more tries in 80 minutes 16/1 best price with Betfair (lost)
play those two with smaller stakes as singles and check in again for tomorrow’s winners